Thursday, February 2, 2012

Property Trends 2012

Photo: guy harrop / Alamy  
French banks, following in the footsteps of American mortgage lenders, are making it harder for home buyers to get a loan. Expat borrowers and French residents alike are being told "non" unless they have very large deposits and lofty incomes. BNP Paribas, one of France's biggest lenders to expatriates, overhauled its mortgage range for non-residents and has cut loan-to-value ratios from 80% to 70%.  They've also chopped the terms on interest-only loans -- but then these loans have always struck me as a perfectly terrible way to borrow money.  French banks are being cautious and rejecting borrowers with loan debt exceeding six times their income.  This seems reasonable to me, but it could affect people with several buy-to-rent properties or even some first-time buyers.  But then again, perhaps someone so heavily leveraged should rent for awhile before taking on more debt.  Call me old fashioned.

Despite the tightened lending, borrowers with sufficient income and smaller debt can still get a loan and French mortgage rates continue to look attractive.  French residents, more conservative borrowers than Americans, tend to like long, fixed-term rates and the interest rate on a 25-year-term is now set at around 4.4%.  There's also something called a capped rate deal where borrowers are promised they will not pay more than 4.5% for the term of the loan and the current rate for these is just 3.5%.

Meanwhile, FrenchEntrée just published their annual property survey based on feedback from their network of immobiliers (real estate agents) and property finders across France.  A few interesting items jumped out at me from this year's report, which showed real estate sales pretty grim in some parts of country but lively in others:

  • There seemed to be fewer buyers from the UK last year, except in the Alps and Cotes d'Azur, but this was made up for by French, Dutch and Belgian buyers.  Increased interest from Australian and American buyers also showed an uptick. 
  • Paris had a stunning year with a 22% increase in property values in the first half of 2011, although that pace slowed significantly as the year progressed. The number of transactions was down, but only because there weren't any properties to sell.  The 3rd and 4th arrondissements were hot.  
  • The Languedoc saw more American buyers, as well as people from Sweden, Norway, Denmark and, of course, French seeking homes. The region already has an enormous British community.  A lot of people are taking a look at the Languedoc, which borders Spain, because of the anticipated completion of the TGV link to Barcelona at the end of this year.  Travelers will be able to get from Perpignan to Barcelona in less than an hour. Tapas for lunch! 
With all the gloomy economic news out of Europe, this all looks rather encouraging.





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